Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
1500 UTC MON JUL 07 2008

...CORRECTED FOR PRESSURE... 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  51.3W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE  90SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  51.3W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  50.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.3N  53.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.2N  55.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.1N  57.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.2N  59.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 28.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 31.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N  51.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
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FORECASTER RHOME
 
 
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