Tropical Storm BERTHA

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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
2100 UTC FRI JUL 04 2008
  
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  31.6W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  30SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  31.6W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  30.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 16.2N  34.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.8N  37.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.4N  41.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.9N  45.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.2N  51.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 23.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  31.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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