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Tropical Depression KIKO


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007               
1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 185N 1148W 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 185N 1148W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 12 185N 1148W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 185N 1175W 34  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 185N 1175W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 185N 1175W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 190N 1195W 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 190N 1195W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 190N 1195W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 195N 1215W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 48 195N 1215W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 195N 1215W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 215N 1235W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 215N 1235W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 215N 1235W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     20     20      20      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:06 UTC