Tropical Depression KIKO

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007               
2100 UTC MON OCT 22 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA SOCORRO   34 11   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   3( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 193N 1112W 34 13   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 12 193N 1112W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 193N 1112W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 192N 1136W 34  X   9( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 24 192N 1136W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 192N 1136W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 191N 1160W 34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 191N 1160W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 191N 1160W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 193N 1180W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 48 193N 1180W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 193N 1180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 205N 1210W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 205N 1210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 205N 1210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     25      25      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
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