ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 2100 UTC SUN OCT 21 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 197N 1083W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 197N 1083W 50 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 12 197N 1083W 64 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 201N 1095W 34 15 25(40) 4(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) 24 201N 1095W 50 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 201N 1095W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 204N 1110W 34 1 8( 9) 11(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) 36 204N 1110W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 204N 1110W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 207N 1129W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) 48 207N 1129W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 207N 1129W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 220N 1170W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 72 220N 1170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 220N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 235N 1205W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 96 235N 1205W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 235N 1205W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 250N 1240W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 250N 1240W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 250N 1240W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 40 35 30 25 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:06 UTC