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Tropical Storm KIKO (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007               
2100 UTC SUN OCT 21 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  1   3( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 197N 1083W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 197N 1083W 50  9   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 12 197N 1083W 64  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 201N 1095W 34 15  25(40)   4(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 24 201N 1095W 50  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 24 201N 1095W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 204N 1110W 34  1   8( 9)  11(20)   4(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 36 204N 1110W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 204N 1110W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 207N 1129W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   7(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 48 207N 1129W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 207N 1129W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 220N 1170W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 72 220N 1170W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 220N 1170W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 235N 1205W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 96 235N 1205W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 96 235N 1205W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 250N 1240W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 250N 1240W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 250N 1240W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     40      35      30      25      20      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
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