Tropical Storm KIKO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007
1500 UTC SAT OCT 20 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 4( 5) 12(17) 12(29) 10(39) 2(41) X(41)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 4( 5) 10(15) 11(26) 9(35) 1(36) 1(37)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 9(19) 1(20) X(20)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
CULICAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12)
MAZATLAN 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 3(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17)
SAN BLAS 34 3 6( 9) 7(16) 3(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20)
P VALLARTA 34 6 10(16) 6(22) 3(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 9 7(16) 4(20) 2(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23)
MANZANILLO 34 5 5(10) 3(13) 2(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
L CARDENAS 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 5( 7) 8(15) 8(23) 7(30) 1(31) X(31)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 4 18(22) 12(34) 5(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 187N 1072W 34 96 2(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 187N 1072W 50 60 14(74) 1(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
12 187N 1072W 64 17 11(28) 1(29) X(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
24 196N 1078W 34 60 27(87) 4(91) 2(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
24 196N 1078W 50 6 42(48) 9(57) 1(58) 2(60) X(60) X(60)
24 196N 1078W 64 1 18(19) 7(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
36 204N 1086W 34 11 42(53) 21(74) 5(79) 3(82) X(82) X(82)
36 204N 1086W 50 X 14(14) 24(38) 5(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46)
36 204N 1086W 64 X 5( 5) 12(17) 3(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
48 208N 1095W 34 3 23(26) 28(54) 9(63) 7(70) X(70) 1(71)
48 208N 1095W 50 X 3( 3) 16(19) 9(28) 5(33) X(33) X(33)
48 208N 1095W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15)
72 215N 1120W 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 11(21) 17(38) 4(42) X(42)
72 215N 1120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) X(12)
72 215N 1120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
96 220N 1155W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) X(13)
96 220N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 220N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 225N 1195W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 225N 1195W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 225N 1195W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 75 80 75 65 45 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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