Tropical Storm KIKO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007
1500 UTC FRI OCT 19 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 11(14) 7(21) 5(26)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 12(15) 7(22) 4(26)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) 5(17)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 2(12)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 4(15) 2(17)
MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 6(10) 8(18) 3(21) 2(23)
SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 7(18) 7(25) 3(28) 1(29)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 3 11(14) 6(20) 5(25) 5(30) 1(31) 2(33)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
MANZANILLO 34 3 7(10) 4(14) 5(19) 4(23) 1(24) 2(26)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
L CARDENAS 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 9(18) 4(22) 1(23)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 9(16) 14(30) 4(34) 1(35)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 175N 1056W 34 79 7(86) 1(87) 1(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89)
12 175N 1056W 50 7 11(18) 2(20) 1(21) 1(22) 1(23) X(23)
12 175N 1056W 64 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 179N 1063W 34 37 29(66) 8(74) 4(78) 2(80) X(80) X(80)
24 179N 1063W 50 2 14(16) 7(23) 4(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29)
24 179N 1063W 64 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
36 185N 1070W 34 7 33(40) 18(58) 8(66) 5(71) 2(73) X(73)
36 185N 1070W 50 X 6( 6) 10(16) 6(22) 4(26) X(26) 1(27)
36 185N 1070W 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
48 192N 1075W 34 1 16(17) 24(41) 13(54) 9(63) 2(65) 1(66)
48 192N 1075W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 9(17) 6(23) 1(24) 1(25)
48 192N 1075W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
72 205N 1085W 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 17(29) 16(45) 6(51) 1(52)
72 205N 1085W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 2(17) 1(18)
72 205N 1085W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
96 215N 1095W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 17(29) 7(36) 3(39)
96 215N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10)
96 215N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
120 220N 1120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 4(20)
120 220N 1120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 220N 1120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 55 60 70 75 70 60
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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