Tropical Depression FIFTEEN-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007
2100 UTC MON OCT 15 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 151N 1087W 34 33 11(44) 4(48) 1(49) 3(52) 1(53) X(53)
12 151N 1087W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
12 151N 1087W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 151N 1087W 34 33 11(44) 4(48) 1(49) 3(52) 1(53) X(53)
24 151N 1087W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
24 151N 1087W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 151N 1087W 34 33 11(44) 4(48) 1(49) 3(52) 1(53) X(53)
36 151N 1087W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
36 151N 1087W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 151N 1087W 34 33 11(44) 4(48) 1(49) 3(52) 1(53) X(53)
48 151N 1087W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
48 151N 1087W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 150N 1085W 34 35 7(42) 3(45) 1(46) 4(50) 1(51) X(51)
72 150N 1085W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
72 150N 1085W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 150N 1085W 34 35 7(42) 3(45) 1(46) 4(50) 1(51) X(51)
96 150N 1085W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
96 150N 1085W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
120 150N 1085W 34 35 7(42) 3(45) 1(46) 4(50) 1(51) X(51)
120 150N 1085W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
120 150N 1085W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 35 35 35 35 35 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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