ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 2100 UTC THU OCT 18 2007 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF MANZANILLO TO LA FORTUNA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KIKO. ADDITIONAL WARNINGS AND WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PARTS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 103.7W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 75SE 90SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 180SE 180SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 103.7W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 103.7W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.2N 103.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.7N 103.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.3N 104.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.9N 105.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.5N 106.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 21.0N 107.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 103.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:05 UTC