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Tropical Storm KIKO (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
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TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
0300 UTC THU OCT 18 2007
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KIKO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 104.7W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  75SE  90SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 240SE 180SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 104.7W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 104.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.2N 104.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  75SE  90SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.0N 103.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.8N 103.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.4N 104.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.5N 105.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N 106.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 20.0N 107.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 104.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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