Tropical Storm JULIETTE

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142007               
2100 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA SOCORRO   34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  3  33(36)   3(39)   X(39)   X(39)   1(40)   X(40)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 177N 1130W 34 45  19(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 12 177N 1130W 50  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 12 177N 1130W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 194N 1140W 34  1  45(46)  11(57)   X(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 24 194N 1140W 50  X   8( 8)   4(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 24 194N 1140W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 209N 1151W 34  X  11(11)  26(37)   5(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 36 209N 1151W 50  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 36 209N 1151W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 215N 1160W 34  X   4( 4)  19(23)   7(30)   3(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 48 215N 1160W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 48 215N 1160W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 217N 1170W 34  X   2( 2)   9(11)   8(19)   4(23)   1(24)   X(24)
 72 217N 1170W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 72 217N 1170W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 217N 1180W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   4(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 96 217N 1180W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 96 217N 1180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      45      40      30      25       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA                                           
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN