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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132007               
1500 UTC THU SEP 20 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                    
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 179N 1306W 34  5   7(12)   2(14)   X(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 12 179N 1306W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 179N 1306W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 175N 1306W 34  4   8(12)   2(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 24 175N 1306W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 175N 1306W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 173N 1299W 34  2   6( 8)   4(12)   1(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 36 173N 1299W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 173N 1299W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 175N 1291W 34  1   2( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 48 175N 1291W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 175N 1291W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 180N 1275W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 72 180N 1275W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 180N 1275W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     25     25      20      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN                                         
                                                                    
                                                                    
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