ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132007 0900 UTC THU SEP 20 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 176N 1304W 34 15 9(24) 1(25) 1(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) 12 176N 1304W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 176N 1304W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 170N 1308W 34 7 12(19) 3(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 24 170N 1308W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 170N 1308W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 166N 1304W 34 4 9(13) 4(17) 1(18) 1(19) 1(20) X(20) 36 166N 1304W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 166N 1304W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 167N 1298W 34 3 6( 9) 4(13) 2(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17) 48 167N 1298W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 167N 1298W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 170N 1290W 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) 72 170N 1290W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 170N 1290W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 175N 1285W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 96 175N 1285W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 175N 1285W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 25 20 20 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:05 UTC