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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA                                                 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E                                      
SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1...CORRECTED                         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132007               
1700 UTC WED SEP 19 2007                                            

...CORRECTED FOR 30 KT INITIAL INTENSITY....
                                                                   
AT 1700Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                    
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 172N 1285W 34 18  12(30)   4(34)   2(36)   2(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 12 172N 1285W 50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)
 12 172N 1285W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 172N 1292W 34  7  20(27)   6(33)   4(37)   1(38)   X(38)   1(39)
 24 172N 1292W 50  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 24 172N 1292W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 172N 1299W 34  2  14(16)  10(26)   5(31)   1(32)   1(33)   X(33)
 36 172N 1299W 50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 36 172N 1299W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 175N 1299W 34  2  14(16)   9(25)   4(29)   3(32)   X(32)   1(33)
 48 175N 1299W 50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 48 175N 1299W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 185N 1286W 34  3   7(10)   3(13)   3(16)   4(20)   1(21)   1(22)
 72 185N 1286W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 185N 1286W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 195N 1275W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   1(11)
 96 195N 1275W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 96 195N 1275W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 205N 1260W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
120 205N 1260W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 205N 1260W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      35      30      25      25      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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