Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane IVO


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9                   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007               
1500 UTC THU SEP 20 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65   
KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                           
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)  14(23)   4(27)   X(27)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)  13(20)   3(23)   1(24)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  11(15)   4(19)   1(20)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
 
CULICAN        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)   1(12)
 
MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  4  14(18)   8(26)   4(30)   4(34)   X(34)   X(34)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ISLA CLARION   34 13  29(42)   6(48)   3(51)   2(53)   X(53)   X(53)
ISLA CLARION   50  1   7( 8)   3(11)   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 178N 1132W 34 95   2(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 178N 1132W 50 68   9(77)   1(78)   1(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 12 178N 1132W 64 23  11(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
 24 188N 1133W 34 56  29(85)   5(90)   1(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 24 188N 1133W 50 13  39(52)   6(58)   1(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 24 188N 1133W 64  1  18(19)   5(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
 36 198N 1131W 34  7  47(54)  17(71)   4(75)   3(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 36 198N 1131W 50  1  17(18)  17(35)   4(39)   2(41)   1(42)   X(42)
 36 198N 1131W 64  X   4( 4)   8(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
 48 208N 1126W 34  2  16(18)  27(45)  12(57)   8(65)   1(66)   X(66)
 48 208N 1126W 50  X   2( 2)  11(13)   9(22)   5(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 48 208N 1126W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 72 225N 1115W 34  X   2( 2)   8(10)  13(23)  15(38)   3(41)   X(41)
 72 225N 1115W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 72 225N 1115W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 240N 1110W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)  13(19)   4(23)   1(24)
 96 240N 1110W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 96 240N 1110W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 255N 1105W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   1(12)
120 255N 1105W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
120 255N 1105W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     75      70      65      60      50      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:04 UTC