ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007 2100 UTC TUE SEP 18 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 15(21) 17(38) 3(41) 1(42) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 1(11) X(11) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 145N 1101W 34 31 14(45) X(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 12 145N 1101W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 145N 1101W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 154N 1122W 34 1 34(35) 10(45) 2(47) 2(49) 1(50) X(50) 24 154N 1122W 50 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) 24 154N 1122W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 36 162N 1137W 34 X 8( 8) 28(36) 10(46) 4(50) 1(51) X(51) 36 162N 1137W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) 36 162N 1137W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 171N 1146W 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 17(35) 11(46) 2(48) X(48) 48 171N 1146W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) 48 171N 1146W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 190N 1150W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 18(32) 4(36) 1(37) 72 190N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) 72 190N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 205N 1145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 14(19) 5(24) 1(25) 96 205N 1145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 96 205N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 120 215N 1135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) 5(16) 1(17) 120 215N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 120 215N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 55 45 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:04 UTC