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HURRICANE HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007
0300 UTC WED SEP 05 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LA PAZ 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
LA PAZ 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LORETO 34 22 26(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
LORETO 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HERMOSILLO 34 2 18(20) 13(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
HERMOSILLO 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BAHIA KINO 34 2 9(11) 4(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
GUAYMAS 34 3 50(53) 8(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
GUAYMAS 50 X 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GUAYMAS 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HUATABAMPO 34 45 42(87) 2(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
HUATABAMPO 50 2 28(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
HUATABAMPO 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LOS MOCHIS 34 82 4(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
LOS MOCHIS 50 6 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
CULICAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CULICAN 50 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 256N 1101W 34 92 3(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 256N 1101W 50 44 18(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
12 256N 1101W 64 8 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
24 275N 1102W 34 11 65(76) 5(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
24 275N 1102W 50 X 24(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
24 275N 1102W 64 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 297N 1100W 34 1 13(14) 16(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
36 297N 1100W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 297N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 318N 1089W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 318N 1089W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 318N 1089W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 65 35 20 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC