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Hurricane HENRIETTE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007               
0300 UTC WED SEP 05 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
LA PAZ         34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
LA PAZ         50  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LORETO         34 22  26(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
LORETO         50  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  2  18(20)  13(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
HERMOSILLO     50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  2   9(11)   4(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
GUAYMAS        34  3  50(53)   8(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
GUAYMAS        50  X   9( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
GUAYMAS        64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HUATABAMPO     34 45  42(87)   2(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
HUATABAMPO     50  2  28(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
HUATABAMPO     64  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34 82   4(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
LOS MOCHIS     50  6   5(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
CULICAN        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CULICAN        50 10   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 256N 1101W 34 92   3(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 12 256N 1101W 50 44  18(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 12 256N 1101W 64  8   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
 24 275N 1102W 34 11  65(76)   5(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
 24 275N 1102W 50  X  24(24)   5(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 24 275N 1102W 64  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 36 297N 1100W 34  1  13(14)  16(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 36 297N 1100W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 297N 1100W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 318N 1089W 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 48 318N 1089W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 48 318N 1089W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     65      35      20       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC