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HURRICANE HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007
2100 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 74 X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 30 X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
LA PAZ 34 92 2(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
LA PAZ 50 35 6(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
LA PAZ 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LORETO 34 4 38(42) 9(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
LORETO 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HERMOSILLO 34 1 2( 3) 22(25) 5(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
HERMOSILLO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BAHIA KINO 34 1 2( 3) 15(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GUAYMAS 34 2 15(17) 30(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
GUAYMAS 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
HUATABAMPO 34 3 43(46) 13(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
HUATABAMPO 50 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
LOS MOCHIS 34 20 27(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CULICAN 34 67 4(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
CULICAN 50 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 244N 1102W 34 92 3(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 244N 1102W 50 36 12(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
12 244N 1102W 64 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
24 263N 1105W 34 9 56(65) 8(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
24 263N 1105W 50 X 18(18) 7(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
24 263N 1105W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 284N 1106W 34 1 10(11) 30(41) 4(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
36 284N 1106W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 284N 1106W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 305N 1101W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
48 305N 1101W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 305N 1101W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 60 50 30 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC