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Hurricane HENRIETTE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007               
1500 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 80   2(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 23   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO  50 78   3(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
SAN JOSE CABO  64 23   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
LA PAZ         34 81  13(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
LA PAZ         50 19  29(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
LA PAZ         64  2   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
LORETO         34  3  29(32)  15(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
LORETO         50  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   9(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   7(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
GUAYMAS        34  1   6( 7)  20(27)   9(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  2  23(25)  17(42)   3(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  6  29(35)   5(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CULICAN        34 38  20(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
CULICAN        50  1   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MAZATLAN       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 236N 1101W 34 95   3(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 236N 1101W 50 51  13(64)   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 12 236N 1101W 64  9   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
 24 255N 1106W 34 11  54(65)   6(71)   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 24 255N 1106W 50  1  17(18)   6(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 24 255N 1106W 64  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 36 274N 1107W 34  2  13(15)  24(39)   6(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 36 274N 1107W 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 36 274N 1107W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 292N 1105W 34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)  10(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 48 292N 1105W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 292N 1105W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     60      55      40       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC