| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Tropical Storm HENRIETTE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007               
0300 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 29  52(81)   3(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  1  36(37)   4(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34 20  55(75)   4(79)   1(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  1  30(31)   4(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
LA PAZ         34  3  42(45)  18(63)   2(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)
LA PAZ         50  X   9( 9)  13(22)   1(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)
LA PAZ         64  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
LORETO         34  1   4( 5)  13(18)  12(30)   4(34)   X(34)   X(34)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   8(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   9(14)   9(23)   X(23)   X(23)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   4( 4)   6(10)  11(21)   6(27)   X(27)   X(27)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  1   7( 8)  11(19)   4(23)   2(25)   X(25)   X(25)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CULICAN        34  2  18(20)  11(31)   2(33)   2(35)   X(35)   X(35)
CULICAN        50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MAZATLAN       34  2   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SAN BLAS       34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
P VALLARTA     34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 216N 1095W 34 93   4(97)   X(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 216N 1095W 50 50  15(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 12 216N 1095W 64 15   6(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
 24 232N 1101W 34 13  61(74)   6(80)   X(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 24 232N 1101W 50  X  30(30)   6(36)   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 24 232N 1101W 64  X   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
 36 249N 1107W 34  2  22(24)  23(47)   6(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 36 249N 1107W 50  X   2( 2)  10(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 36 249N 1107W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 267N 1108W 34  X   3( 3)  10(13)  15(28)   8(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 48 267N 1108W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 48 267N 1108W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 305N 1099W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 72 305N 1099W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 305N 1099W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     70      55      55      25       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC