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Tropical Storm HENRIETTE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007               
2100 UTC MON SEP 03 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   6(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  6  57(63)  13(76)   1(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X  18(18)  11(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  4  50(54)  14(68)   3(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X  11(11)   9(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
LA PAZ         34  2  21(23)  30(53)  10(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)
LA PAZ         50  X   1( 1)  12(13)   5(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
LA PAZ         64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LORETO         34  X   3( 3)   8(11)  24(35)  11(46)   X(46)   X(46)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)
LORETO         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  10(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)  13(25)   X(25)   X(25)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)  13(19)   8(27)   X(27)   X(27)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   4( 4)   7(11)  11(22)   3(25)   X(25)   X(25)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CULICAN        34  2   7( 9)  13(22)   9(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
CULICAN        50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MAZATLAN       34  2   4( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SAN BLAS       34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
P VALLARTA     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  2   4( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  4   4( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 209N 1092W 34 93   5(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 209N 1092W 50 48  12(60)   1(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 12 209N 1092W 64 13   6(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
 24 223N 1102W 34 13  65(78)   7(85)   2(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 24 223N 1102W 50  X  32(32)   9(41)   1(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 24 223N 1102W 64  X  10(10)   5(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
 36 238N 1109W 34  2  27(29)  32(61)   8(69)   2(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 36 238N 1109W 50  X   3( 3)  17(20)   5(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 36 238N 1109W 64  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 254N 1112W 34  1   4( 5)  21(26)  21(47)   6(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 48 254N 1112W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 48 254N 1112W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 295N 1110W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 72 295N 1110W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 295N 1110W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     70      70      55      30       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC