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TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007
1500 UTC MON SEP 03 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
P ABREOJOS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 13(28) 3(31) X(31)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 5 38(43) 16(59) 3(62) 2(64) X(64) X(64)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X 6( 6) 8(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 4 29(33) 17(50) 3(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LA PAZ 34 2 10(12) 27(39) 12(51) 4(55) X(55) X(55)
LA PAZ 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LORETO 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 22(32) 16(48) 2(50) X(50)
LORETO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 1(14) X(14)
LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) X(12)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 5(20) X(20)
HERMOSILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 6(29) X(29)
BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 20(29) 4(33) X(33)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
HUATABAMPO 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 7(11) 12(23) 2(25) X(25)
HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
LOS MOCHIS 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 8(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21)
CULICAN 34 2 4( 6) 6(12) 8(20) 4(24) X(24) X(24)
CULICAN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MAZATLAN 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN BLAS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P VALLARTA 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 5 5(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 206N 1095W 34 91 5(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 206N 1095W 50 49 17(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
12 206N 1095W 64 14 7(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
24 218N 1106W 34 15 62(77) 11(88) 1(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90)
24 218N 1106W 50 1 34(35) 12(47) 1(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49)
24 218N 1106W 64 X 12(12) 6(18) 1(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20)
36 232N 1114W 34 3 26(29) 36(65) 10(75) 2(77) X(77) X(77)
36 232N 1114W 50 X 5( 5) 23(28) 10(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40)
36 232N 1114W 64 X 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
48 249N 1118W 34 1 5( 6) 23(29) 24(53) 12(65) 1(66) X(66)
48 249N 1118W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23)
48 249N 1118W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
72 290N 1120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 6(27) X(27)
72 290N 1120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
72 290N 1120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 330N 1100W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
96 330N 1100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 330N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 70 75 65 50 20 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC