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Tropical Storm HENRIETTE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007               
0300 UTC MON SEP 03 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   3(13)   X(13)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  3  10(13)  39(52)  15(67)   4(71)   1(72)   X(72)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   1( 1)  17(18)  13(31)   4(35)   X(35)   X(35)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  3   8(11)  35(46)  16(62)   4(66)   X(66)   X(66)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   1( 1)  12(13)  11(24)   3(27)   X(27)   X(27)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
LA PAZ         34  1   4( 5)  17(22)  24(46)  11(57)   1(58)   X(58)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   7(21)   X(21)   X(21)
LA PAZ         64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)  16(28)   3(31)   X(31)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   X(12)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   4(18)   X(18)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)  11(18)   4(22)   X(22)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   6(11)  12(23)   2(25)   X(25)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CULICAN        34  X   4( 4)   7(11)  11(22)  10(32)   1(33)   X(33)
CULICAN        50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MAZATLAN       34  3   3( 6)   5(11)   2(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
SAN BLAS       34  3   4( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
P VALLARTA     34  3   5( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MANZANILLO     34  3   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  3   7(10)   5(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  4  11(15)   4(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 195N 1078W 34 92   4(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 195N 1078W 50 58  16(74)   1(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 12 195N 1078W 64 28  12(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 
 24 206N 1089W 34 20  59(79)  11(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 24 206N 1089W 50  2  41(43)  14(57)   1(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 24 206N 1089W 64  X  19(19)   9(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
 36 219N 1099W 34  3  28(31)  39(70)   9(79)   2(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 36 219N 1099W 50  X   6( 6)  29(35)   9(44)   2(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 36 219N 1099W 64  X   1( 1)  17(18)   5(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
 48 235N 1107W 34  1   6( 7)  26(33)  23(56)   9(65)   1(66)   X(66)
 48 235N 1107W 50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  16(23)   6(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 48 235N 1107W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
 
 72 270N 1110W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  14(21)   5(26)   X(26)
 72 270N 1110W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 72 270N 1110W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 320N 1100W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 96 320N 1100W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 96 320N 1100W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     75      85      75      55      25       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC