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Tropical Storm HENRIETTE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007               
1500 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  12(21)   X(21)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   2( 2)  20(22)  16(38)   8(46)   2(48)   X(48)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   2( 2)  16(18)  13(31)   9(40)   1(41)   X(41)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  11(17)  13(30)   4(34)   X(34)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  10(13)   9(22)   X(22)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   1(12)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   X(12)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   4(13)   X(13)
 
CULICAN        34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   7(14)   3(17)   X(17)
CULICAN        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
MAZATLAN       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
SAN BLAS       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
P VALLARTA     34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   9( 9)  16(25)   5(30)   4(34)   1(35)   X(35)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  1   3( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 192N 1076W 34 89   6(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 12 192N 1076W 50 53  17(70)   1(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 12 192N 1076W 64 31  11(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 
 24 200N 1090W 34  5  69(74)  12(86)   2(88)   X(88)   1(89)   X(89)
 24 200N 1090W 50  1  37(38)  14(52)   2(54)   X(54)   1(55)   X(55)
 24 200N 1090W 64  X  19(19)   9(28)   1(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 36 210N 1102W 34  X  22(22)  44(66)  10(76)   3(79)   1(80)   X(80)
 36 210N 1102W 50  X   4( 4)  29(33)   8(41)   2(43)   1(44)   X(44)
 36 210N 1102W 64  X   1( 1)  14(15)   5(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
 48 220N 1113W 34  X   2( 2)  32(34)  22(56)  10(66)   2(68)   X(68)
 48 220N 1113W 50  X   X( X)  10(10)  15(25)   7(32)   1(33)   X(33)
 48 220N 1113W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   3(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 
 
 72 240N 1125W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)  20(38)   9(47)   X(47)
 72 240N 1125W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   3(16)   X(16)
 72 240N 1125W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 270N 1130W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  10(19)   1(20)
 96 270N 1130W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 96 270N 1130W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 301N 1130W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
120 301N 1130W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
120 301N 1130W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     75      85      80      70      50      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC