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Tropical Storm HENRIETTE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007               
0300 UTC SAT SEP 01 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  17(22)   4(26)   X(26)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  14(19)   4(23)   X(23)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   5(15)   X(15)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
CULICAN        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 
MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
 
SAN BLAS       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
P VALLARTA     34  X   2( 2)  10(12)   5(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X  24(24)  11(35)   2(37)   2(39)   X(39)   X(39)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MANZANILLO     34  1  22(23)   5(28)   2(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)
MANZANILLO     50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
L CARDENAS     34 33   2(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  11(15)   3(18)   1(19)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  10(18)   6(24)   1(25)   X(25)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 178N 1035W 34 50  21(71)   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 12 178N 1035W 50 13   6(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 12 178N 1035W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 187N 1051W 34  X  44(44)  13(57)   3(60)   X(60)   1(61)   X(61)
 24 187N 1051W 50  X  12(12)   6(18)   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 24 187N 1051W 64  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 195N 1066W 34  X   6( 6)  35(41)  12(53)   4(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 36 195N 1066W 50  X   1( 1)  11(12)   6(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 36 195N 1066W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 202N 1082W 34  X   1( 1)  12(13)  24(37)  11(48)   1(49)   1(50)
 48 202N 1082W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 48 202N 1082W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 72 215N 1110W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  22(28)   7(35)   1(36)
 72 215N 1110W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 72 215N 1110W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 225N 1130W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   7(19)   1(20)
 96 225N 1130W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
 96 225N 1130W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 240N 1150W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   3(11)
120 240N 1150W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
120 240N 1150W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     50     55      60      65      65      60      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC