Tropical Depression ELEVEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007
2100 UTC THU AUG 30 2007
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAGUNAS
DE CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO ACAPULCO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO
ZIHUATANEJO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  97.3W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  97.3W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  97.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N  98.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.9N  99.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.8N 100.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.5N 102.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.0N 105.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 20.3N 108.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 21.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  97.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
 
 
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