Tropical Storm HENRIETTE

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TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007
800 PM PDT WED SEP 05 2007
 
SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT HENRIETTE MADE
LANDFALL NEAR GUAYMAS MEXICO AROUND 0000 UTC. HENRIETTE HAS STARTED
TO WEAKEN AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 55 KT.
ADDITIONAL RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CYCLONE MOVES INLAND
OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO.  IT IS UNLIKELY THAT THE CIRCULATION WILL
SURVIVE THE PASSAGE OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OVER MEXICO AND
DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED WITHIN 24-36 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER.
 
EVEN THOUGH HENRIETTE IS WEAKENING...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL
CONTINUES OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO.  MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF
HENRIETTE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ENHANCED RAINFALL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE COUPLE OF
DAYS.
  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      06/0300Z 28.8N 110.8W    55 KT
 12HR VT     06/1200Z 30.6N 110.4W    30 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     07/0000Z 32.6N 108.5W    20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
 36HR VT     07/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
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