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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression GIL


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102007               
1500 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 20 KTS...25 MPH...35 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 200N 1251W 34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 12 200N 1251W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 200N 1251W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 203N 1265W 34  X   6( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 24 203N 1265W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 203N 1265W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 205N 1280W 34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 36 205N 1280W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 205N 1280W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 205N 1295W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 48 205N 1295W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 205N 1295W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     20     20      15      15       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MUNDELL/PASCH                                      
                                                                    
                                                                    
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