Tropical Storm GIL

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102007               
1500 UTC THU AUG 30 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34 22   8(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 189N 1145W 34 32   5(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 12 189N 1145W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 189N 1145W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 187N 1167W 34  1  16(17)   6(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 24 187N 1167W 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 187N 1167W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 185N 1189W 34  X   2( 2)  13(15)   6(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 36 185N 1189W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 185N 1189W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 184N 1212W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 48 184N 1212W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 184N 1212W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 185N 1255W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
 72 185N 1255W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 185N 1255W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 190N 1300W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 96 190N 1300W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 96 190N 1300W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     30      30      30      25      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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