Tropical Depression GIL
ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102007
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 01 2007
A QUIKSCAT PASS OVER GIL NEAR 1400Z INDICATED THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS
WERE NO MORE THAN 25 KT...AND PROBABLY LESS. THE SATELLITE
PRESENTATION CONTINUES TO DEGRADE AND IT IS LIKELY THAT GIL WILL NO
LONGER BE A TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
KEPT AT A GENEROUS 25 KT. THE REMNANT LOW STAGE OF THE CYCLONE
WILL LIKELY LAST FOR A FEW DAYS AS THE DEPRESSION UNWINDS OVER
COOLER WATERS.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...280/8.
THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWING A SLOW WEST
OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS BASICALLY AN
UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE CONSENSUS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/2100Z 19.1N 121.6W 25 KT
12HR VT 02/0600Z 19.3N 122.8W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 02/1800Z 19.6N 124.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 03/0600Z 19.9N 126.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 03/1800Z 20.2N 127.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 04/1800Z 20.2N 131.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER BLAKE
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