Hurricane FLOSSIE
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
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HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092007
1500 UTC SAT AUG 11 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
15N 145W 34 X 20(20) 31(51) 3(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56)
15N 145W 50 X 3( 3) 17(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
15N 145W 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 7(26) 1(27)
BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 2(13)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 129N 1418W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 129N 1418W 50 82 9(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
12 129N 1418W 64 47 19(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
24 133N 1439W 34 4 81(85) 7(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
24 133N 1439W 50 X 57(57) 14(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
24 133N 1439W 64 X 33(33) 12(45) 2(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
36 137N 1460W 34 X 17(17) 54(71) 10(81) 3(84) X(84) X(84)
36 137N 1460W 50 X 4( 4) 38(42) 12(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55)
36 137N 1460W 64 X 1( 1) 19(20) 7(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28)
48 141N 1481W 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 31(56) 15(71) 1(72) X(72)
48 141N 1481W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 22(28) 10(38) X(38) X(38)
48 141N 1481W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16)
72 155N 1525W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 29(32) 8(40) 1(41)
72 155N 1525W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12)
72 155N 1525W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 170N 1565W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 2(16)
96 170N 1565W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
96 170N 1565W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 185N 1600W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
120 185N 1600W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 185N 1600W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 115 105 95 85 70 55 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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