Hurricane FLOSSIE
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092007
2100 UTC FRI AUG 10 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 137.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
15N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 28(52) 7(59) X(59) X(59)
15N 145W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22)
15N 145W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 11(20) 1(21)
BUOY 50004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 127N 1390W 34 92 5(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 127N 1390W 50 58 18(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
12 127N 1390W 64 30 17(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
24 131N 1413W 34 2 77(79) 10(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
24 131N 1413W 50 X 46(46) 15(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
24 131N 1413W 64 X 22(22) 10(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
36 136N 1436W 34 1 10(11) 53(64) 12(76) 3(79) X(79) X(79)
36 136N 1436W 50 X 2( 2) 30(32) 11(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44)
36 136N 1436W 64 X X( X) 14(14) 6(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
48 141N 1460W 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 35(51) 14(65) 1(66) X(66)
48 141N 1460W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 8(29) X(29) X(29)
48 141N 1460W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
72 150N 1505W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 27(30) 8(38) 1(39)
72 150N 1505W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
72 150N 1505W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 165N 1550W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 3(17)
96 165N 1550W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
96 165N 1550W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 180N 1595W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
120 180N 1595W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 180N 1595W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 80 85 80 75 65 55 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: