Tropical Storm FLOSSIE
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092007
0300 UTC FRI AUG 10 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 27(31) 4(35) 1(36)
15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 127N 1356W 34 85 8(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
12 127N 1356W 50 25 18(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
12 127N 1356W 64 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
24 130N 1378W 34 2 63(65) 11(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
24 130N 1378W 50 X 19(19) 11(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
24 130N 1378W 64 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 134N 1398W 34 1 9(10) 44(54) 9(63) 2(65) 1(66) X(66)
36 134N 1398W 50 X 1( 1) 15(16) 5(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
36 134N 1398W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 138N 1418W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 23(38) 11(49) 1(50) X(50)
48 138N 1418W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14)
48 138N 1418W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 145N 1460W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 7(31) 1(32)
72 145N 1460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
72 145N 1460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 155N 1505W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16)
96 155N 1505W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
96 155N 1505W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 165N 1550W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
120 165N 1550W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 165N 1550W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 60 60 55 55 50 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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