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Tropical Storm FLOSSIE (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092007               
1500 UTC THU AUG 09 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  11(23)   1(24)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 129N 1327W 34 79   9(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 12 129N 1327W 50 17  14(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 12 129N 1327W 64  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 24 131N 1350W 34  2  65(67)  13(80)   X(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 24 131N 1350W 50  X  25(25)  12(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 24 131N 1350W 64  X   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
 36 133N 1370W 34  X  15(15)  44(59)  12(71)   2(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 36 133N 1370W 50  X   1( 1)  22(23)   8(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 36 133N 1370W 64  X   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
 48 135N 1390W 34  X   2( 2)  20(22)  26(48)  12(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 48 135N 1390W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   5(23)   1(24)   X(24)
 48 135N 1390W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 72 140N 1430W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  23(26)   7(33)   1(34)
 72 140N 1430W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 72 140N 1430W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 150N 1475W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   3(16)
 96 150N 1475W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 96 150N 1475W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 160N 1515W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
120 160N 1515W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
120 160N 1515W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     50     60      65      65      55      50      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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