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Tropical Storm DALILA (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
0300 UTC THU JUL 26 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 211N 1136W 34 29  16(45)   X(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 12 211N 1136W 50  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 211N 1136W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 220N 1152W 34  1  15(16)   9(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 24 220N 1152W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 220N 1152W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 228N 1170W 34  X   2( 2)  13(15)   4(19)   1(20)   1(21)   X(21)
 36 228N 1170W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 228N 1170W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 235N 1185W 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 235N 1185W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 235N 1185W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 240N 1215W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 72 240N 1215W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 240N 1215W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 240N 1235W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
 96 240N 1235W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 96 240N 1235W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 240N 1255W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
120 240N 1255W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 240N 1255W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     30      30      25      25      20      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:59 UTC