Tropical Storm DALILA

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
2100 UTC WED JUL 25 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA SOCORRO   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 208N 1133W 34 29  17(46)   X(46)   1(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
 12 208N 1133W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 208N 1133W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 217N 1147W 34  2  17(19)   9(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 24 217N 1147W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 217N 1147W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 223N 1162W 34  X   4( 4)  12(16)   5(21)   X(21)   1(22)   X(22)
 36 223N 1162W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 223N 1162W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 230N 1179W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 230N 1179W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 230N 1179W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 240N 1205W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 72 240N 1205W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 240N 1205W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 240N 1230W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 96 240N 1230W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 96 240N 1230W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 240N 1250W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
120 240N 1250W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 240N 1250W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     30      30      25      20      20      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER LANDSEA/AVILA                                          
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN