Tropical Storm DALILA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007
0300 UTC TUE JUL 24 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 16(17) 23(40) 9(49) 4(53) X(53) X(53)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 171N 1097W 34 26 28(54) 3(57) 1(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
12 171N 1097W 50 2 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
12 171N 1097W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 181N 1103W 34 4 33(37) 14(51) 3(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56)
24 181N 1103W 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
24 181N 1103W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 190N 1110W 34 1 13(14) 24(38) 10(48) 4(52) 1(53) X(53)
36 190N 1110W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14)
36 190N 1110W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 198N 1118W 34 X 4( 4) 18(22) 15(37) 9(46) 1(47) 1(48)
48 198N 1118W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14)
48 198N 1118W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 220N 1140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 19(25) 4(29) 1(30)
72 220N 1140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
72 220N 1140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 235N 1165W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) 1(15)
96 235N 1165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
96 235N 1165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 245N 1200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 245N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 245N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 50 40 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: