Tropical Storm DALILA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007
2100 UTC MON JUL 23 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 12(30) 8(38) X(38) 1(39)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 12(20) 3(23) X(23)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 161N 1099W 34 23 27(50) 3(53) 1(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55)
12 161N 1099W 50 2 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
12 161N 1099W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 172N 1107W 34 1 31(32) 14(46) 5(51) 3(54) X(54) X(54)
24 172N 1107W 50 X 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13)
24 172N 1107W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 180N 1114W 34 X 9( 9) 26(35) 11(46) 6(52) 1(53) X(53)
36 180N 1114W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15)
36 180N 1114W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 188N 1121W 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 16(34) 13(47) 1(48) 1(49)
48 188N 1121W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15)
48 188N 1121W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 205N 1140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 23(30) 6(36) 1(37)
72 205N 1140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10)
72 205N 1140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 223N 1163W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) 1(17)
96 223N 1163W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
96 223N 1163W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 240N 1190W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
120 240N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 240N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 55 45 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
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