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Tropical Storm DALILA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
1500 UTC MON JUL 23 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   2( 2)  13(15)  19(34)   9(43)   2(45)   X(45)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   X(13)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)  19(30)   3(33)   1(34)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 155N 1097W 34 41  23(64)   3(67)   2(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
 12 155N 1097W 50  5   5(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 12 155N 1097W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 162N 1104W 34  9  39(48)  11(59)   5(64)   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 24 162N 1104W 50  X   9( 9)   6(15)   2(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 24 162N 1104W 64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 170N 1111W 34  1  17(18)  26(44)  13(57)   5(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 36 170N 1111W 50  X   3( 3)   9(12)   6(18)   3(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 36 170N 1111W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 48 181N 1121W 34  X   3( 3)  16(19)  25(44)  12(56)   1(57)   X(57)
 48 181N 1121W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   5(19)   1(20)   X(20)
 48 181N 1121W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 200N 1145W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  25(33)   7(40)   1(41)
 72 200N 1145W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 72 200N 1145W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 220N 1175W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  11(17)   2(19)
 96 220N 1175W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 96 220N 1175W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 235N 1210W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
120 235N 1210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 235N 1210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      50      60      60      50      35
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN