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Tropical Depression SEVEN-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
0300 UTC MON JUL 23 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  17(23)   9(32)   2(34)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  12(23)   3(26)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 136N 1087W 34 16  12(28)   3(31)   3(34)   3(37)   1(38)   X(38)
 12 136N 1087W 50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 136N 1087W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 142N 1097W 34  3  22(25)  11(36)   5(41)   4(45)   1(46)   X(46)
 24 142N 1097W 50  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 24 142N 1097W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 149N 1104W 34  1  11(12)  18(30)  10(40)   7(47)   2(49)   X(49)
 36 149N 1104W 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   3(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 36 149N 1104W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 156N 1109W 34  X   4( 4)  16(20)  14(34)  13(47)   2(49)   1(50)
 48 156N 1109W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   5(13)   1(14)   1(15)
 48 156N 1109W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 72 175N 1120W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)  22(34)   8(42)   1(43)
 72 175N 1120W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   1(13)
 72 175N 1120W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 195N 1145W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  13(21)   4(25)
 96 195N 1145W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 96 195N 1145W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 220N 1180W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)
120 220N 1180W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 220N 1180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      40      50      60      55      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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