Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression SEVEN-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
0900 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)   4(16)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)   6(18)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 132N 1073W 34 14  11(25)   2(27)   2(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 12 132N 1073W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 132N 1073W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 136N 1088W 34  1  23(24)  11(35)   3(38)   3(41)   1(42)   1(43)
 24 136N 1088W 50  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)
 24 136N 1088W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 138N 1101W 34  X   9( 9)  20(29)   8(37)   4(41)   2(43)   1(44)
 36 138N 1101W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   1(12)
 36 138N 1101W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 142N 1110W 34  X   2( 2)  16(18)  12(30)  10(40)   2(42)   2(44)
 48 142N 1110W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 48 142N 1110W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 155N 1120W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)  11(15)  13(28)   7(35)   2(37)
 72 155N 1120W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)
 72 155N 1120W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 175N 1135W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   9(11)   8(19)   5(24)
 96 175N 1135W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 96 175N 1135W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 200N 1160W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)
120 200N 1160W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 200N 1160W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      40      45      50      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN