Tropical Depression SEVEN-E

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
0300 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)   1(13)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   3(12)
 
CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 135N 1071W 34 12  12(24)   2(26)   1(27)   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 12 135N 1071W 50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 135N 1071W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 140N 1086W 34  1  23(24)  11(35)   4(39)   3(42)   1(43)   X(43)
 24 140N 1086W 50  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 140N 1086W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 143N 1098W 34  X   9( 9)  20(29)   8(37)   5(42)   1(43)   X(43)
 36 143N 1098W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 143N 1098W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 145N 1110W 34  X   2( 2)  13(15)  13(28)  10(38)   3(41)   1(42)
 48 145N 1110W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 48 145N 1110W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 155N 1120W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)  13(17)  13(30)   5(35)   1(36)
 72 155N 1120W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 72 155N 1120W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 170N 1130W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  11(16)   5(21)   2(23)
 96 170N 1130W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 96 170N 1130W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 190N 1150W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)
120 190N 1150W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 190N 1150W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      40      45      50      45      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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