| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Tropical Storm COSME (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007               
0300 UTC WED JUL 18 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 136.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
BUOY 50002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 152N 1384W 34 40   3(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 12 152N 1384W 50  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 152N 1384W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 156N 1409W 34  1  17(18)   5(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 24 156N 1409W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 156N 1409W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 162N 1436W 34  X   1( 1)  15(16)   5(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 36 162N 1436W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 162N 1436W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 167N 1466W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 48 167N 1466W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 167N 1466W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 175N 1525W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 72 175N 1525W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 72 175N 1525W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 180N 1570W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 96 180N 1570W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 96 180N 1570W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 185N 1615W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 185N 1615W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 185N 1615W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     30      30      30      25      25      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:57 UTC