Tropical Storm COSME
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007
1500 UTC TUE JUL 17 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 154N 1361W 34 55 4(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
12 154N 1361W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 154N 1361W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 158N 1384W 34 X 29(29) 7(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
24 158N 1384W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 158N 1384W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 162N 1410W 34 X 1( 1) 21(22) 8(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
36 162N 1410W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 162N 1410W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 167N 1439W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 6(24) X(24) X(24)
48 167N 1439W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 167N 1439W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 180N 1500W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) 1(16)
72 180N 1500W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 180N 1500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 190N 1555W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10)
96 190N 1555W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 190N 1555W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 190N 1600W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
120 190N 1600W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 190N 1600W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 35 35 35 35 35 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
NNNN
NHC on Facebook
Twitter
YouTube
NHC Blog: