Tropical Storm COSME
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007
0900 UTC TUE JUL 17 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 132.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 154N 1341W 34 92 3(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 154N 1341W 50 21 5(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
12 154N 1341W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 157N 1361W 34 2 56(58) 7(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
24 157N 1361W 50 X 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
24 157N 1361W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 162N 1386W 34 X 2( 2) 30(32) 7(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
36 162N 1386W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 162N 1386W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 168N 1414W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24)
48 168N 1414W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 168N 1414W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 180N 1470W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) 1(15)
72 180N 1470W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 180N 1470W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 190N 1530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10)
96 190N 1530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
96 190N 1530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 195N 1585W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
120 195N 1585W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 195N 1585W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 45 40 35 35 35 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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