Tropical Storm COSME

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007               
0300 UTC MON JUL 16 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   1(11)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 138N 1299W 34 85   7(92)   X(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 12 138N 1299W 50 34  17(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 12 138N 1299W 64  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 24 145N 1316W 34 11  57(68)  11(79)   X(79)   1(80)   X(80)   X(80)
 24 145N 1316W 50  X  27(27)  11(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 24 145N 1316W 64  X   7( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
 36 148N 1334W 34  1  19(20)  36(56)  10(66)   2(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 36 148N 1334W 50  X   2( 2)  18(20)   6(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 36 148N 1334W 64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 48 150N 1355W 34  X   3( 3)  15(18)  22(40)  10(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 48 150N 1355W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 48 150N 1355W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 155N 1405W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)   6(26)   1(27)
 72 155N 1405W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 72 155N 1405W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 165N 1460W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)
 96 165N 1460W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 165N 1460W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 175N 1510W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 175N 1510W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 175N 1510W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     55     60      60      55      50      40      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN