Tropical Storm COSME

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007               
2100 UTC SUN JUL 15 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 133N 1289W 34 73  10(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 12 133N 1289W 50  9   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 12 133N 1289W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 140N 1303W 34 11  43(54)   9(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 24 140N 1303W 50  X  10(10)   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 24 140N 1303W 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 145N 1323W 34  1   7( 8)  29(37)   8(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 36 145N 1323W 50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 145N 1323W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 147N 1343W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  15(25)   8(33)   1(34)   X(34)
 48 147N 1343W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 48 147N 1343W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 150N 1385W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   6(19)   X(19)
 72 150N 1385W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 150N 1385W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 160N 1430W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)
 96 160N 1430W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 160N 1430W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 175N 1480W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
120 175N 1480W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 175N 1480W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     45      45      40      40      35      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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