Tropical Depression SIX-E

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E                                           
SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1                         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007               
1700 UTC SAT JUL 14 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1700Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 115N 1285W 34 14   9(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   1(24)   X(24)
 12 115N 1285W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 115N 1285W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 120N 1305W 34  1  22(23)  11(34)   2(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 24 120N 1305W 50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 24 120N 1305W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 125N 1325W 34  X   3( 3)  24(27)  12(39)   2(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 36 125N 1325W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 36 125N 1325W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 130N 1350W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  22(26)  11(37)   2(39)   X(39)
 48 130N 1350W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)
 48 130N 1350W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 135N 1385W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  20(23)   8(31)   2(33)
 72 135N 1385W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)
 72 135N 1385W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 140N 1405W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  10(20)   4(24)
 96 140N 1405W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 96 140N 1405W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 145N 1435W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)
120 145N 1435W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 145N 1435W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      40      45      50      55      55
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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