Tropical Storm BARBARA

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022007               
2100 UTC FRI JUN 01 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ANGEL        34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
HUATULCO       34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
SALINA CRUZ    34  2  10(12)   6(18)   6(24)   3(27)   X(27)   X(27)
SALINA CRUZ    50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TAPACHULA      34  9  23(32)   7(39)   4(43)   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)
TAPACHULA      50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
P SAN JOSE     34  1   6( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 138N  936W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 138N  936W 50 17   6(23)   1(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 12 138N  936W 64  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 24 146N  933W 34 40  21(61)   4(65)   1(66)   1(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 24 146N  933W 50  2  13(15)   3(18)   1(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 24 146N  933W 64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 152N  932W 34 12  28(40)   7(47)   3(50)   2(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 36 152N  932W 50  X   6( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 36 152N  932W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 158N  934W 34  3  18(21)   8(29)   5(34)   2(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 48 158N  934W 50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 48 158N  934W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 165N  938W 34  1   7( 8)   6(14)   5(19)   4(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 72 165N  938W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 72 165N  938W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     50     55      55      45      25       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN